Publications
Executive summaries
IFFS Working Paper Series
Books, chapters and journal articles
2025 and forthcoming
Adler, J. & H. O. Stefánsson. “Introduktion till temanummer om den långa framtiden”, Tidskrift för politisk filosofi 2025:1, 2-5.
Arrhenius, G. (forthcoming). Population Ethics, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Arrhenius, G. (forthcoming). “Population Ethics: A Challenge to the Project of Normative Ethics?”, in David Copp, Tina Rulli & Connie Rosati (eds.), Oxford Handbook of Normative Ethics, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Arrhenius, G., Campbell, T. & T. Tännsjö (forthcoming). “The Repugnant Conclusion”, Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy.
Arrhenius, G. & J. Roussos. “De lömska problemen”, Tidskrift för politisk filosofi 2025:1, 24-39.
Bykvist, K. & T. Campbell (forthcoming). "Frick's Account of the Procreation Asymmetry", Journal of Moral Philosophy.
Bykvist, K. & J. Roussos. "A plea for modelling in ethics", Synthese 205 (42).
Campbell, T. “Etiska utmaningar med att använda DALY som beslutsstöd för hälsointerventioner: lärdomar från populationsetiken”, Tidskrift för politisk filosofi 2025:1, 77-92.
Campbell, T. & P. Kaczmarek (forthcoming). "The Parent Trap: Why Actualism Fails to Deliver the Asymmetry", Utilitas.
Engström, E. “AI:s tid som tankeexperiment är förbi: långsiktig AI-politik bör utgå från dagens djupinlärningsteknik”, Tidskrift för politisk filosofi 2025:1, 6-23.
Jebari, K. & J. Adler. “Farornas tid och ett världsomspännande styrsystem”, Tidskrift för politisk filosofi 2025:1, 58-76.
Roussos, J. “Engagerad expertrådgivning i kristid”, Tidskrift för politisk filosofi 2025:1, 40-57.
Sandberg, A. (forthcoming). Grand Futures: visions and limits of what can be achieved.
2024
Arrhenius, G. & H. O. Stefánsson. “Incommensurability, the sequence argument, and the Pareto principle”, Philos Stud 181: 3395-3411.
Asker, A., & K. Jebari. “Saved by the Dark Forest: How a Multitude of Extraterrestrial Civilizations Can Prevent a Hobbesian Trap”, The Monist 107(2): 176-189.
Engström, E. & M. Kolk. “Projecting Environmental Impacts with varying Population, Affluence, and Technology using IPAT – Climate Change and Land Use Scenarios”. The Vienna Yearbook of Population Research 22.
Engström, E., Vartanova, I., Viberg Johansson, J., Persson, M., & P. Strimling. “Comparing and Modeling the Use of Online Recommender Systems”. Computers in Human Behavior Reports 15: 100449.
Jebari, K. “The Ethical Considerations of Pantropy in the Colonization of Mars”, in Garasic, M. D. & Di Paola, M. (eds), The Philosophy of Outer Space. Routledge.
Roussos, J. “Awareness revision and belief extension”, Australasian Journal of Philosophy: 1-24.
Roussos, J. "Daniel Greco’s Idealization in Epistemology", BJPS Review of Books.
Roussos, J. "Managing values in climate science." PLOS Climate 3(6): e0000432.
Roussos, J. "Fragile Futures: The Uncertain Economics of Disasters, Pandemics, and Climate Change, Vito Tanzi. Cambridge University Press, 2021.", Economics & Philosophy 40(1): 250-256.
Stéfansson, H. O. “Identified person 'bias' as decreasing marginal value of chances", Noûs 58(2): 536-561.
Stéfansson, H. O. “How pure risk of harm can itself be a harm", Analysis 84(1): 112-116.
Söderlund, K., Engström, E., Haresamudram, K., Larsson, S. & P. Strimling. “Regulating high-reach AI: On transparency directions in the Digital Services Act”. Internet Policy Review 13(1).
Viberg Johansson, J. & E. Engström. “'Humans think outside the pixels' - Radiologists' perceptions of using artificial intelligence for breast cancer detection in mammography screening in a clinical setting.” Health Informatics Journal Jul-Sep; 30(3): 14604582241275020.
2023
Arrhenius, G. & H. O. Stefánsson. “Population ethics under risk”, Social Choice and Welfare.
Campbell, T., Kolk, M. & J. Mosquera. “Future Generations and Universal Procreation Rights”, Journal of Applied Philosophy.
Cassidy, M., Mani, L. & A. Sandberg. “The Ethics of Volcano Engineering”, Earth’s Future, 11(10).
Engström, E. & M. Kolk. “Projecting Environmental Impacts with varying Population, Affluence, and Technology using IPAT – Climate Change and Land Use Scenarios”, Vienna Yearbook of Population Research.
Furendal, M. & K. Jebari. “The Future of Work: Augmentation or Stunting?”, Philosophy & Technology, 36(2).
Jebari, K. “Individuell klimatpåverkan och individens ansvar”, Tidsskrift för politisk filosofi, 27(1).
Naqavi, F., Engström, E. & J. Franklin. “Green Vehicles’ Responses to an Expiring Congestion Toll Exemption: Findings from a Natural Experiment in Stockholm, Sweden”, Findings.
Nebel, J. M. & H. O. Stefánsson. “Calibration dilemmas in the ethics of distribution”, Economics and Philosophy, 39(1), 67-98.
Sandberg, A. “The lifespan of civilizations: do societies “age”, or is collapse just bad luck?” in Centeno, M., Callahan, P., Larcey, P. & Patterson, T. (red.). How Worlds Collapse. Routledge, 375-396.
Steele, K. & H. O. Stefánsson. Beyond Uncertainty: Reasoning with Unknown Possibilities, Cambridge University Press.
Stefánsson, H. O. “Identified person “bias” as decreasing marginal value of chances”, Noûs, 58(2), 536-561.
Stefánsson, H. O. “Planetär ingenjörskonst och katastrofrisker”, Tidsskrift för Politisk Filosofi, 27(1).
2022
Arrhenius, G. “Incommensurability and Vagueness in Population Axiology”, in Henrik Andersson and Anders Herlitz (eds.), Value Incommensurability, Routledge.
Arrhenius, G. “Population Paradoxes without Transitivity”, in Gustaf Arrhenius, Krister Bykvist, Tim Campell and Elizabeth Finneron-Burns (eds.), the Oxford Handbook of Population Ethics, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Arrhenius, G., Bykvist, K., Campbell, T. & E. Finneron-Burns (eds.). The Oxford Handbook of Population Ethics, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Fisher, L. & A. Sandberg. “A safe governance space for humanity: necessary conditions for the governance of global catastrophic risks”, Global Policy, 13(5), 792-807.
Jebari, K. & A. Sandberg. “Ecocentrism and Biosphere Life Extension”, Science and Engineering Ethics, 28(6), 46.
Kolk, M. & K. Jebari. “Sex Selection for Daughters: Demographic Consequences of Female-Biased Sex Ratios”, Population Research and Policy Review, 41(4).
Roussos, J. “Modelling in normative ethics”, Ethical Theory and Moral Practice 25, 865-889.
Stefánsson, H. O. “Should I offset or should I do more good?”, Ethics, Policy & Environment, 25(3), 225-241.
2021
Steele, K. & H. O. Stefánsson. Beyond Uncertainty: Reasoning with Unknown Possibilities, Cambridge University Press.
Steele, K. & H.O. Stefánsson. “Belief Revision for Growing Awareness”, Mind, 130(520), 1207-1232.
Working papers
2025
Adler, J., Campbell, T., Engström, E., Jebari, K., Roussos, J. & A. Sandberg. “The Hinge of History”.
Campbell, T. “Ethical Challenges in Using DALYs to Inform Health Interventions: Some Lessons from Population Ethics”, Institute for Futures Studies. Working paper 2025:1.
Engström, E. “Applicability of the IPAT model to global catastrophic risks”.
Jebari, K. & J. Adler. “The Time of Perils and a World System of Governance”, Institute for Futures Studies. Working paper 2025:1.
2024
Campbell, T. & P. Kaczmarek. “Improving Lives and Avoiding Harm”.
Engström, E. & K. Jebari. “Paths to Sustainable Food in 2100: How far can technology take us?”, in Sustainable Populations in the Time of Climate Change. Institute for Futures Studies, 34-51.
Jebari, K. & E. Engström. “Backcasting the Future of Food: A Technology-Oriented Path to Sustainable Production in 2100”, Institute for Futures Studies. Working paper 2024:10.
Jebari, K. & J. Roussos. "Can longtermists avoid cluelessness?".
2023
Andersson, E., Arrhenius, G. & T. Campbell. "Scanlonian Contractualism and Future Generations", Institute for Future Studies. Working Paper 2023:11, 193-206.
Bykvist, K. & T. Campbell. "Frick's Account of the Procreation Asymmetry".
Engström, E. & M. Kolk. “Projecting Environmental Impacts with Varying Population, Affluence, and Technology using IPAT – Climate Change and Land Use Scenarios”, Stockholm Research Reports in Demography, 2023:11.
Engström, E. & P. Strimling. “Comparing Factors Driving Adoption Intentions for Eight AI innovations”.
Jebari, K. & J. Mosquera. "Animal Population Ethics in the Space: The Risks of Extraplanetary Exploration".
Roussos, J. "Belief extension for growing awareness".
2022
Yang, V. C. & A. Sandberg. “Collective Intelligence as Infrastructure for Reducing Broad Global Catastrophic Risks”, arXiv preprint arXiv:2205.03300.
2021
Mosquera, J. "Climate Change, Corrective Justice, and Animals", Studies on Climate Ethics and Future Generations Vol. IV, Working Papers 2021:11-23, Institute for Futures Studies.
Roussos, J. “Awareness growth and belief revision”, in Roussos, J. and P. Bowman (eds.), Studies on Climate Ethics and Future Generations Vol. III, Working Papers 2021:1-10, Institute for Futures Studies.